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Solar Panel Degradation: What to Expect Over 25 Years

15 Sep 2026 · 2 min read

Every solar panel loses a small amount of output every year — this is normal and priced into every proposal.

What the curve looks like

"A panel at year 20 still produces roughly 90% of its day-one output — degradation isn't decay, it's a slow taper."
YearOutput
198%
10~94%
25~83%

This curve is exactly why ROI calculations assume 25, not 30, years of full credit.

Related reading

How Long Do Solar Panels Actually Last? → Solar Panel Warranty: What's Actually Covered? → Solar ROI: How to Calculate Payback Period →

Plan around the real output curve.

See degradation-adjusted savings in your proposal.